拦截TBM发射区的确定方法初探

在讨论拦截TBM杀伤区的基础上 ,应用TBM的运动方程 ,给出了确定低层反导防御系统拦截TBM时发射区的方法 ,对研究反导防御作战理论有一定的参考作用 ,同时 ,为指挥员选择最佳发射时机和发射方式提供了重要的理论依据。     

The snowball phenomenon: the US Marine Corps,military mythology and the spread of hybrid warfare theory

ABSTRACT

This article reviews the book by Ofer Fridman and seeks to situate the strategic debate on hybrid war in the context of debate on the US involvement in Iraq. It points to intellectuals from the Marine Corps having a significant role in the initial development of the hybrid warfare concept at a time of some reservation in US military circles over COIN strategy as this was set out in the field manual FM3-24. Thereafter, the hybrid war concept rapidly spread and became a conceptual device used to explain Russian strategic intentions in the aftermath of the invasion of Ukraine in 2014.     

城市区域消防安全评估方法研究

城市区域消防安全评估是科学有效地进行城市消防规划、部署和消防法规的制定的重要依据 ,对于城市建设和社会经济的协调发展具有保证和促进作用。根据《中华人民共和国消防法》及《机关、团体、企业、事业单位消防安全管理规定》(6 1号令 )对消防管理对象的界定标准 ,提出两种不同的分类方法 ,确定了城市区域消防安全体系的组成要素 ,采用层次分析法确定了各要素的权重 ,应用多层次多目标系统模糊优选理论 ,建立了城市区域消防安全评价模型 ,对城市区域消防安全评估进行了方法研究和具体计算 ,并应用所设计的模型对北京市宣武区的区域消防安全状况进行了两种方法的分析评估。计算结果证明了方法的有效性 ,用两种不同的分类方法所做出的结果 ,显示了不同分类的一致性。     

Hybrid War and Its Countermeasures: A Critique of the Literature

This article examines critically the literature of hybrid war and evaluates the countermeasures often proposed. It explains the concept of hybrid warfare and its varied interpretations, illustrating how it is a manifestation of current anxieties in armed conflict. The selection of the literature is based on works that are referenced, that offer a scientific approach, and which review either the phenomenon of hybrid warfare or its countermeasures empirically. Unscientific works have been omitted. The analysis of the literature presented here shows that the antidotes to ‘hybridity’ lie not in the operational or tactical sphere but in strategic and political domains.     

非均匀焊接接头的力学建模与断裂分析

建立了非均匀焊接接头"4区连接"的新模型,并利用积分变换-奇异积分方程的方法,研究了焊缝区的反平面断裂问题。数值计算表明:增大界面区的刚度或者适当地增大焊缝区、热影响区和界面区的宽度都有利于降低焊缝区裂纹的应力强度因子;相对于高匹配情形而言,低匹配焊接接头焊缝区的抗断裂能力明显较高。     

鱼雷攻击占位相关参数计算

讨论了鱼雷攻击占位机动过程中,最小占位速度和最短占位时间的计算问题,采用数值计算分析方法,得出了各种不同敌我初始态势和相对运动速度下对应最短占位时间的占位点的分布规律,推导出最小占位速度和最短占位时间的计算公式。     

Violence in context: Mapping the strategies and operational art of irregular warfare

The malaise that the United States, and the West, have experienced in recent campaigns stems in large part from unclear thinking about war, its political essence, and the strategies needed to join the two. Instead, analysis and response are predicated on entrenched theoretical concepts with limited practical utility. The inadequacy of understanding has spawned new, and not so new, terms to capture unanticipated trends, starting with the re-discovery of “insurgency” and “counterinsurgency” and leading to discussion of “hybrid threats” and “gray-zone” operations. New terminology can help, but the change must go deeper. Challenging analytical orthodoxy, this article sets out a unifying approach for the study of political violence, or more accurately: violent politics. It provides a conceptual foundation that helps to make sense of recent shifts in warfare. In effect, it offers sorely needed theoretical insights into the nature of strategy and guides the process of responding to nontraditional threats.     

军民融合创新示范区产业集聚问题与对策

军民融合创新示范区是军民融合产业发展的重要载体,推动军民融合创新示范区产业集聚发展是军民融合深度发展的必然要求,也是建设现代产业体系的重要抓手。本文通过总结梳理军民融合产业集聚发展的历史演变,分析当前军民融合创新示范区产业集聚现状及发展中存在的主要问题,并提出加强产业集聚发展的对策建议。     

PD体制地面情报雷达相关问题研究

中脉冲重复频率的PD体制对于杂波的抑制能力较强,一般应用于机载雷达.目前,地面对空情报雷达为更有效地检测低空目标以及小目标,也采用了PD体制.在分析了杂波重叠和PRF组限制的基础上,对比了M/N准则、检测概率以及盲区图,讨论了采用3/7准则的优越性,该结论对于PD体制雷达的研制和改装有实际的应用价值.     

复合材料修补金属裂损结构吸湿老化的试验与有限元分析

暴露在湿热环境中的复合材料修补金属裂损结构易吸湿老化,导致该结构性能下降,服役寿命缩短。为研究吸湿性对复合材料修补金属裂损结构修补效果和耐久性的影响,利用试验方法分析了吸湿性对复合材料胶补金属裂损结构及胶黏剂力学性能的影响;利用有限元方法评估了吸湿性对复合材料胶补金属裂损结构试验件修补效果和耐久性的影响。研究结果表明:吸湿后含穿透双边裂纹铝合金板玻璃纤维单面胶补试验件的疲劳裂纹扩展寿命和极限载荷的平均值分别下降为吸湿前的71%和90%;吸湿造成拉伸条件下复合材料胶补金属裂损结构胶层失效模式由内聚破坏为主转变为界面破坏为主;在"湿-热"老化30天后,E44/聚酰胺环氧树脂胶黏剂试验件吸水饱和,弹性模量下降为未老化前的40%,塑性应变超过了总应变的25%;有限元分析发现胶层损伤受吸湿影响明显,吸湿性加速了胶层损伤,且裂纹长度越长,加速作用越明显;同时吸湿使得裂纹尖端的J积分值急剧增大,导致修补结构的疲劳裂纹扩展寿命缩短,裂纹长度越长,吸湿性对于复合材料胶接修补效果的危害越严重。